Possible scenario
High Domestic Uptake
20% Chance
Russian investors respond strongly to a regulated onshore venue, especially if the product set includes major tokens and ruble settlement. The outcome strengthens the domestic capital-market narrative and supports Sberbank and Moscow Exchange fee expectations.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.6%
- Technology +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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