Possible scenario
Court fights narrow
20% Chance
Affected news organizations or individuals challenge the subpoenas in federal court, seeking unsealing, notice, or limits on retained records. Courts are likely to address process and secrecy questions without reopening the already-dismissed Trump federal prosecutions.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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