Possible scenario
Public Livestream Approved
20% Chance
Trump confirms the Pentagon's earlier announcement and allows a public livestream to proceed. This is plausible given the administration's prior messaging, but it carries higher legal, ethical, and operational risk than a restricted or canceled feed.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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