Possible scenario
Managed Safety Slowdown
40% Chance
OpenAI converts the compute shift into a controlled safety program rather than a broad retreat from frontier AI. Product timelines slip modestly, but the company preserves enterprise confidence by showing measurable cybersecurity and alignment milestones.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- CRWV-0.8%
- NVDA-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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