Possible scenario
Limited PERM Reset
45% Chance
The suspension remains a targeted labor-certification enforcement action rather than a broader attack on high-skilled immigration. Microsoft and the other suspended employers negotiate corrective action plans, pay civil penalties, and retain access to H-1B hiring while PERM green-card filings are paused.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.6%
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- CTSH-1.7%
- MSFT-0.7%
- ACN-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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