Possible scenario
Memory Supply Dominates
18% Chance
The RAM cut does not fully solve Tesla's exposure to the broader AI memory shortage expected to persist through 2030. Optimus output becomes governed less by robot assembly capacity and more by the availability and pricing of advanced memory packages.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- TSLA-1.2%
- MU+0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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