Possible scenario
Deal Stalls Again
20% Chance
Leadership concludes the bill still lacks the votes or floor time needed for a clean rollout. The market response is limited because permitting reform has already been delayed repeatedly and its economic effects would be long-dated.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
- Utilities -0.5%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.3%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- WMB-0.9%
- KMI-0.8%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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