Possible scenario
Brown Comeback
33% Chance
Sherrod Brown wins back the seat by reassembling his labor-heavy coalition and limiting Republican margins in northeastern Ohio. The 44%-43% poll shows the race is effectively tied, leaving room for Brown to outperform if late undecideds break Democratic.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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