Possible scenario
Record Corrected Quickly
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Marion County Jail treats the citizenship entry as a booking or database error and amends the record after checking with federal authorities. Prosecutors continue the fatal bus-crash murder case without major disruption because immigration status is not central to proving the crash charges.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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