Possible scenario
Kenya Contains Exposure
45% Chance
Kenya's Ministry of Health, with WHO and Africa CDC support, identifies the infected man's travel path and isolates most high-risk contacts within days. No sustained community transmission is found, making this the most likely path because Ebola requires close contact and prior Congo response capacity is already mobilized.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Tickers
- MRK+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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