Possible scenario
Investigations Escalate
27% Chance
U.S. state investigators and congressional critics use Infantino’s limited answers to press harder on ticketing, travel disruption and the abandoned private-capital proposal. The legal risk remains sector-specific rather than macroeconomic, but it weighs on the sports-event ecosystem around the 2026 World Cup.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Business Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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