Possible scenario
Court-Driven Delay
31% Chance
CME’s existing litigation over perpetual futures creates a realistic path for a federal court or the CFTC to slow the single-stock filings. The products are not rejected outright, but the timetable slips while the court tests whether the contracts are lawful futures or off-exchange equity substitutes.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-2.0%
- CME+1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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