Possible scenario
Republicans Reengage Late
24% Chance
CLF's withdrawal may be tactical rather than final, especially if later polling shows the Republican nominee still within striking distance. The group or aligned GOP entities could return with a smaller, more targeted expenditure focused on turnout, inflation, immigration, and redistricting advantages.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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