Possible scenario
GOP Still Flips
17% Chance
A GOP victory remains plausible if the national environment turns sharply against Democrats or if South Florida Republican turnout exceeds expectations. The new GOP-leaning House map gives Republicans a structural opening even without CLF's full investment.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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