Possible scenario
International Pressure Builds
20% Chance
The torture allegations draw stronger statements from press-freedom groups, European lawmakers, and possibly the U.S. State Department. The pressure is likely to be diplomatic and reputational rather than market-moving, unless tied to aid, IMF talks, or security cooperation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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