Possible scenario
Pardon Powers Tested
20% Chance
Litigants use the Calk matter and Trump’s self-pardon claim to test whether corruptly obtained pardons can be reviewed or limited. Courts are reluctant to second-guess pardons, but the alleged financial link creates a plausible vehicle for litigation.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- -2.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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