Possible scenario
Rally Consolidates
28% Chance
After a major round-number breakout, traders may take profits while longer-term buyers defend the move. This would be a normal consolidation rather than a reversal, especially if ETF flows stay positive but less dramatic.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- RIOT-3.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.