Possible scenario
Settlement And Compliance
45% Chance
The most likely path is a negotiated resolution with the eSafety Commissioner or Australian Competition and Consumer Commission rather than a prolonged merits trial. Meta and TikTok would accept stronger age-assurance controls, reporting duties, and moderate penalties while denying systemic misconduct.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- META-0.3%
- SNAP-0.1%
- GOOG-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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