Possible scenario
House Rewrites Bill
27% Chance
Clemson and UNC support reduces outright opposition but does not eliminate House concerns over labor rights, Title IX effects, and antitrust immunity. The House chooses to rewrite the Senate bill rather than accept it as-is, delaying final enactment while keeping a deal possible.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.