Possible scenario
Restriction Bill Advances
18% Chance
Gill's proposal gains traction as part of a broader immigration package, especially if MAGA-aligned members tie skilled-worker visas to layoffs in technology. Passage remains difficult, but even committee movement would be a meaningful sector-specific policy shock.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Business Services -0.7%
- Healthcare -0.3%
Tickers
- CTSH-1.2%
- AMZN-0.7%
- MSFT-0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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