Possible scenario
Fee Compromise Emerges
28% Chance
The administration keeps a restrictive posture but looks for a compromise on Trump's $100,000 H-1B fee. This path is plausible because Republican lawmakers have already objected to the fee while the tech industry has pressed for withdrawal.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.4%
Tickers
- CTSH-0.7%
- MSFT+0.5%
- AMZN+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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