Possible scenario
Partial Coverage Restoration
38% Chance
The Trump administration reinstates coverage for a meaningful minority of the 760,000 people removed from ACA rolls, while maintaining that many others failed eligibility checks. CMS and state marketplaces adopt faster document review and appeal procedures, but the policy remains contested.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.2%
Tickers
- OSCR+1.3%
- CNC+0.8%
- MOH+0.6%
- ELV+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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