Possible scenario
Operational bottlenecks persist
25% Chance
The support center faces long hold times, confusing eligibility guidance, and poor coordination with loan servicers. The result resembles the repayment restart problems of 2023, with consumer advocates and state attorneys general pressing for enforcement pauses.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- NNI-2.3%
- -1.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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