Possible scenario
Draw Confirmed
38% Chance
The API draw is largely validated by official EIA data, reinforcing the view that Hurricane Isaias disruptions and softer U.S. output tightened near-term supply. Traders price in a firmer physical market, especially with the U.S. SPR release program near its final tranche.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Tickers
- COP+1.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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