Possible scenario
Police Clear Blockades
15% Chance
The government opts for enforcement rather than further concessions, using prefects and police to restore access to critical roads and depots. This could reopen logistics corridors quickly, but clashes would risk prolonging the dispute.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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