Possible scenario
Blockades Spread Wider
25% Chance
Campania hauliers keep mobilizing despite Sicily's retreat, and sympathetic truckers in nearby regions stage copycat slowdowns. The impact remains mostly Italian and sector-specific, but retailers, food distributors, and manufacturers face delayed deliveries.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.7%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.6%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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