Possible scenario
Turek Gains Traction
30% Chance
The denial ad keeps the controversy alive and gives Josh Turek repeated opportunities to link Hinson to GOP resistance on fuller Epstein-file disclosure. The issue does not decide the race alone, but it becomes a useful character-and-transparency attack for Democrats.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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