Possible scenario
Custody Case Proceeds
45% Chance
The most likely path is that ICE and the Justice Department keep the wounded Venezuelan man in federal custody while prosecutors pursue the assault charge tied to the Austin shooting. The hospital transfer becomes a procedural dispute rather than a major policy reversal.
Tickers
- GEO+0.7%
- CXW+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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