Impeachment Fight Escalates

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Opposition lawmakers gain enough support to force formal impeachment proceedings or high-profile hearings. Peña is still likely to survive because of Colorado Party strength, but markets would price a higher risk of institutional paralysis and delayed bank resolution.

What it moves

Finance−0.4%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?