Possible scenario
Probe Remains Contained
30% Chance
Investigators find poor judgment and incomplete disclosure but no clear quid pro quo or misuse of public office. The matter stays within the State Department disciplinary process, with limited implications for U.S.-Greece energy policy.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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