Possible scenario
Administrative Findings
35% Chance
The State Department Office of Inspector General finds that Kimberly Guilfoyle relied on energy lobbyist Marafatsos without adequate disclosure and pushed a Greek LNG-linked company through improper channels. The likely result is an administrative finding, recusal requirements, and removal from the specific energy matter rather than an immediate criminal case.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.