Possible scenario
SoCal Swell Event
45% Chance
Polo weakens after its Category 5 peak, with Southern California seeing dangerous surf, rip currents, and localized beach closures rather than broad storm damage. This is the most likely path because Pacific hurricanes often weaken over cooler water and drier air before reaching Baja California Sur.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Tickers
- EIX-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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