Possible scenario
Accountability Pressure Expands
25% Chance
The lawsuit draws more attention to what Netanyahu, the Prime Minister's Office, the IDF, and Shin Bet knew before Oct. 7. Opposition figures such as Yair Lapid and Benny Gantz use the case to renew calls for a formal state commission of inquiry.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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