Possible scenario
Smooth Vegas Launch
42% Chance
The most likely path is a conventional expansion rollout: ownership closes, the NBA finalizes the franchise fee, and Las Vegas prepares for a 2028 or 2029 debut. The city's recent success with the Golden Knights, Raiders, F1, and the A's stadium process supports a relatively smooth execution.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.3%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- MSGS+1.2%
- MGM+1.0%
- SPHR+1.0%
- VICI+0.7%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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