Possible scenario
Commodity Carveout Holds
45%
+0.1%
Washington treats Russian diesel and fertilizer as a narrow inflation-relief carveout rather than a broader sanctions rollback. Moscow ships promised diesel volumes while offering fertilizer under agricultural exemptions, easing near-term pressure on U.S. distillate and farm-input markets.
What it moves
- Non-Energy Materials−0.6%
- Energy−0.4%
- Market volatility
- Oil prices
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