Possible scenario
Protocol Settlement Reached
30% Chance
The league and union avoid a protracted confrontation by negotiating changes to medical procedures, similar to the concussion-protocol revision after the 2022 Tagovailoa case. This outcome is plausible because both sides have incentives to show responsiveness while keeping the dispute inside the collective bargaining framework.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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