Possible scenario
Independent Probe Opens
40% Chance
The NFL reverses its initial refusal and agrees to a limited independent review after the NFLPA keeps public pressure on the league. This is the most likely path because it allows Commissioner Roger Goodell and the league office to contain reputational damage without immediately conceding wrongdoing.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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