Possible scenario
Stricter Version Returns
20% Chance
Fiscal hawks or tax authorities could argue that a 10% rate is too generous and inconsistent with Greece's broader tax base. A partial reversal toward the original 15% proposal would signal a more revenue-focused approach, especially as EU crypto tax reporting starts to generate better transaction data.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Technology -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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