Possible scenario
Confirmation And Turf Fight
25% Chance
The nomination gets bogged down over Clayton's prior Wall Street ties, his intelligence-director nomination and the role of David Sacks. Agencies resist unclear lines of authority between the White House, intelligence community and new SI Force.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Business Services -0.2%
Tickers
- -1.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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