Possible scenario
Major Mexico Damage
25% Chance
Polo's Category 5 intensity translates into a more damaging event than early reports suggested, with flooding, landslides, and wind damage across southwestern Mexico. The impact is still regional, but travel, insurance, utilities, and logistics names with Mexico exposure see a clearer negative reaction.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.8%
- Utilities -0.8%
- Finance -0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.2%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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