Possible scenario
Democrats Contain Damage
30% Chance
Nevada Democrats move quickly to frame Wolfson's endorsement as a personal decision rather than a broader party split. Labor groups, abortion-rights organizations, and national Democratic committees keep the race focused on turnout and policy contrasts rather than elite endorsements.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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