Serb Secession Pressure

Milorad Dodik and the SNSD use a Serb presidency win, likely by Željka Cvijanović or another loyalist, to renew pressure against state-level courts, defense structures and the Office of the High Representative. Russia-friendly rhetoric increases, but EUFOR and Western diplomats initially contain the crisis.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.