Possible scenario
Coalition Contains Demand
32% Chance
Netanyahu's coalition argues that existing Oct. 7 reviews are sufficient and frames the opposition demand as political. Religious Zionism, Shas, and United Torah Judaism remain aligned with Likud, preventing the probe from gaining binding force.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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