Possible scenario
Emergency Procurement Broadens
25% Chance
Riyadh uses the Pakistani request as leverage to accelerate alternative air-defense purchases and leases. Turkey, European suppliers, and China all become more relevant as Saudi Arabia tries to reduce dependence on U.S. Patriot availability.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +1.0%
Tickers
- LMT+0.5%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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