Possible scenario
Valuation Reset
25% Chance
Investors push back on the $2 trillion target, focusing on model-training costs, revenue quality, and the difficulty of comparing private AI-lab valuations with public software multiples. Anthropic still has a credible path to market, but the record valuation becomes harder to defend.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.5%
- Finance -0.6%
- Business Services -0.5%
Tickers
- NVDA-1.7%
- AMZN-1.4%
- CRM-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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