Possible scenario
Discovery Proceeds
30% Chance
A plausible but less likely outcome is that the court finds enough factual dispute to allow discovery into JPMorgan’s account-risk reviews after January 6. This would keep reputational and political risk elevated even if Trump’s ultimate damages claim remains difficult to prove.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
Tickers
- JPM-1.9%
- BAC-0.3%
- C-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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