Rates Drive Direction

its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The AI narrative remains important, but the next two trading days are driven more by Treasury yields and discount-rate sensitivity than by fresh company news. A rates move can either cap the rebound or broaden it beyond the AI trade.

What it moves

Finance+0.3%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Rates Drive Direction

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