Possible scenario
Grassley Avoids Vacancy
30% Chance
Grassley remains in office through the end of his term, making the appointment fight largely theoretical. His public stance still shapes the 2026 Iowa campaigns, but no immediate Senate vacancy materializes.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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