Possible scenario
Appointment Law Changed
35% Chance
Grassley's objection accelerates a push by Iowa Republicans to revise the vacancy process before any Democratic governor can act. The most likely vehicle is a lame-duck or early-session bill requiring a rapid special election or limiting interim appointees.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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