Possible scenario
UN Stalemate Persists
45% Chance
China's statement reinforces the familiar UN majority against the U.S. embargo, but Washington does not change policy. Cuba gains diplomatic language and symbolic support while sanctions, travel limits, and Helms-Burton constraints remain intact.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- S+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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